If you play DFS golf on DraftKings, you probably noticed how tight the pricing was for the Sony Open this week. Jimmy Walker leads the way at $12,200, with Adam Scott not far behind at $12,000.
If you were to have Walker or Scott anchor your lineup, you'd be investing roughly 24% of your total salary. Walker is the two time defending champion, and has shown that he can win tournaments, so I can see why he would be a popular pick. But 24%? That seems insanely high for anyone not named Spieth, Day or McIlroy. Putting Walker or Scott in play means you will have to balance out the rest of your roster with players who average $7560. That is a tough task considering
Due to the high pricing of Walker and Scott, the rest of the field now has to balance out the remaining tiers. This has led to many of the middle tier players --who should be in the $7500-$8500-- being priced between $9,000 and $11,000. The inflated salaries has made it difficult to build a balanced GPP roster, while still giving yourself a chance to win the tournament.
Despite the tight pricing, there are some inconsistencies between Vegas odds and where certain players are priced. The player that stands out to me the most is Jason Dufner. Vegas has his odds as 60/1, which is the 16th best odds. When you compare that to Dufner's salary, you'll see there are 28 players priced ahead of him. Dufner's salary is very appealing at $7,900, and he is a guy I will be targeting in my lineups.
The beginning of the season is the perfect time to exploit the players with a small sample size. These golfers are usually priced well below their true value, and many of them offer salary relief.
A perfect example of this is Peter Malnati. He has the 26th best odds to win (65/1) but there are 33 players priced ahead of him. That may seem negligible, but with the inflated salaries, that is the type of player you are looking for. He broke through at the Sanders Farms, where he won the tournament with a score of (-18). He then followed that up with top tens at the OHL Classic (10th), and he had a great showing at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions, where he finished 6th..
Who are some of the players between $7500-$8500 that you will have exposure to?