Fire up the Jim Mora “playoffs" clip as the battle for the FedEx Cup continues. The pros return to a familiar track this week, heading north via I-95 (OK, private jet) to TPC Boston, which is about 30 miles south of Beantown.
Gil Hanse and Brad Faxon reworked the original 2002 Arnold Palmer Design layout to give the course more of a New England feel. Mounding and bunkering, as well as a dubious reworking of the 18th hole followed.
7,342 yards, par 71. TPC Boston generally sees winning totals in the -15 to -20 range. Bentgrass greens that run around 12.5 on the stimpmeter feature only subtle breaks, and with pre-tournament rain expected, the course should be fairly gettable, with the winning score skewing toward the -20-end of the range.
Generally a slightly below-average difficulty track, players will see par-5 scoring opportunities. The risk-reward layout on many par 4s clearly favors bombers of the golf ball, so look for length with your core players this week (even more so if the course is soft).
97 players will tee it up this week, so it's important to keep in mind that roughly three-fourths of the field will make the cut. Thus, fortune will certainly favor the bold this week/you might want to scale back exposure.
In addition to the usual strokes gained stats and birdie or better percentage, add an extra helping of strokes gained: approach to your plate. Also look to total driving and strokes gained: tee-to-green more than you might otherwise.
Creme de la Creme
Dustin Johnson: $12,000
Yes, he just won. But Dustin Johnson has won back-to-back on more than one occasion in his career, including earlier this year. Yes, winning twice in two weeks is a tall task. But does that mean it's worth paying an extra $100 for Jordan Spieth at a course that preferences length even more than Glen Oaks did? He has two top-10 finishes in his last four starts at TPC Boston. Showing last week that back issues are behind him (sorry), rostering DJ this week in the 25 to 40 percent range in GPP makes sense.