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Recap
Wow! What a weekend we had at The Quicken Loans. This was a domination display of ball striking I have ever seen! Molinari was near perfection for hitting greens in regulation and his bogey avoidance was pretty good, only having 2 drop shots the entire week. By the time he made the turn on Sunday and made that long eagle putt on 10, I was already looking forward to next week since I knew then it was already over.
For DraftKings, I had nothing to sniff at this weekend. I made 5 lineups and I was focusing on the bad plays of Sabbatini and Shawn Stefani to try and make the weekend and push up the leaderboard. Out of the 5 lineups, I had 15 players. Here is a quick look at my player pool and my best lineup.
PLAYER | EXPOSURE % (5 LINEUPS) |
RORY SABBATINI | 80 |
NICK WATNEY | 60 |
SHAWN STEFANI | 60 |
ROBERT GARRIGUS | 60 |
FRANCESCO MOLINARI | 40 |
JAMIE LOVEMARK | 40 |
BYEONG-HUN AN | 40 |
PATRICK RODGERS | 40 |
TIGER WOODS | 40 |
JIMMY WALKER | 40 |
CHARLES HOWELL III | 20 |
KEVIN NA | 20 |
ZAC BLAIR | 20 |
J.B. HOLMES | 20 |
GARY WOODLAND | 20 |
BEST LINEUP | DK POINTS | FINISH POSITION |
ROBERT GARRIGUS | 71.5 | T27 |
FRANCESCO MOLINARI | 138 | 1 |
RORY SABBATINI | 23 | MC |
SHAWN STEFANI | 16.5 | MC |
NICK WATNEY | 50.5 | T64 |
TIGER WOODS | 98 | T4 |
As you can see, I took a risk with Stefani and Sabbatini this week and I paid the price. I went to Stefani because it felt like everyone was going to be on Duncan and I wanted to fade him because I thought he could reach 10% being a weak field and the fact that he a nice cut streak going. The play was to in fact to bite the bullet and play Duncan who finished with 63 DK points and replace Sabbatini for Ryan Armour who made 4 straight cuts coming into the week and finished with 105.5 DK points. That would've been a difference of 129 points for a total of 526.5 and once again, another week where I'm off by 2 players for having a solid week. Congrats to Molinari on his first PGA tour win and watch out for him at The Open in a couple of weeks!
This Week
We are headed to West Virginia for A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier. This field is a bit better to digest than last week. You have 7 out of the top 35 in the world playing this week, including, Phil Mickelson and Bubba Watson. With having 3 wins in a season for the first time in his career, you would think Bubba is the guy to beat this weak. The course is called The Old White TPC and it's a Par 70; 7,286 yards. The fairways here are bit wider than last week, so Phil and Bubba should have no problems navigating the grounds at The Old White. For stats, it's back to the basics. I'm looking at B.O.B. %; SG: Approach the Green; Proximity; SG: Around the Green; SG: Par 4 scoring; Driving Distance; and SG: Putting as a tie breaker.
Cash Plays
Keegan Bradley ($8,500) – Bradley at $8,500 seems value with this type of field. He has made 4 out of 4 cuts here at The Greenbrier, including a 4th place finish back in 2014. He only missed 1 cut in his last 10 starts this season, and that was at the U.S. Open. For stats, he's 1st in the field for SG: Approach the Green; 6th in the field for Proximity; and 21st in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring.
Andrew Putnam ($7,800) – We're not used to seeing Putnam's price this high, but here we are. When the player is this hot, you must bite the bullet and play him, just like Duncan last week. Andrew has made 8 cuts in a row now and has finished inside the top 30 5 times in that stretch. For stats, he's 15th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring; 16th in the field for SG: Around the Green; and 39th in the field for SG: Approach the Green.
Robert Garrigus ($6,800) – Garrigus is finding his own little groove with 2 months to go in the season. He has made 3 out of the last 4 cuts and has inside the top 30 in all 3. He has made 2 cuts here in the last 2 years and finish inside the top 50 in both. For stats, he's 4th in the field for B.O.B.%; 5th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring; and 21st in the field for SG: Putting.
GPP Plays
Tony Finau ($11,500) – Just like we did with Justin Thomas a couple weeks ago, we're going straight to the top for Finau in tournaments. Even with decent history, with finishing inside the top 15 in the last 2 years, people won't pay his price especially when we're used to seeing him in the mid $8,000 range. He has 5 top 25s in his last 7 starts, and he finished 5th at the U.S. Open which was his last start before this week. For stats, he's 20th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring; 35th in the field for SG: Approach the Green; and he's 42nd in the field for SG: Around the Green.
Brandon Hagy ($7,400) – This is a little off the board, but Hagy is interesting to look at this week. He hasn't played much on the PGA tour, mostly on the Web.com tour, but he did finished 18th at the Sanderson Farms and 5th at the RBC Canadian Open last year. He did finish top 20 here last year as well. For stats, he's 2nd in the field for B.O.B.%; 11th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring; and he's 28th in the field for SG: Putting. He's going to be my dark horse pick this week.
Exposure
Cash Games: For cash games, I like to play the small field 50/50s, for example, anything less than 100 entrants. I tend to make just 1 lineup and that lineup will have the 6 golfers who I think will have the best chance of making it to the weekend and have the upside of a top 10 finish.
3 Entry Max GPPs: For these tournaments, think of it as one lineup for cash, one for leagues and one that is completely different than the first 2. This technique is very common among the DFS community and even the DFS pros. Just start of with your cash lineup then use a “2 vs. 2" strategy for the other lineups.
20 – 150 Max GPPs: With these, you can have a player pool anywhere from 15-100 players. For 20 max GPPS, I tend to stay closer to 15-18 golfers in my pool. For 150 max GPPs, I recommend using around 25-30 golfers.
Weather
As of right now, there doesn't seem to be an advantage for any waves. If there are any updates, I will update them via twitter.
Good luck everyone!!
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