It was another brutal week to try to get 6/6 through the weekend. Unfortunately, one of my picks, Bryson DeChambeau had to withdraw because of a bad back. Bud Cauley seems to still have wrist issues and the wind didn't help his situation to make progress. Then, there's Chesson Hadley who seems just a bit off right now. He might have hit a wall, just like Chez Reavie a few weeks ago.
For the tournament itself, I hope you guys were able to watch it from start to finish on the weekend. It was very exciting to watch! That was all because of Tiger and the way he was performing. The chip in for birdie on the 9th hole on Saturday was truly vintage Tiger and then make another birdie on the 10th and on the top of that, records the fastest swing speed on 14. Overall, it was truly an amazing event to watch and let's enjoy this ride that Tiger has created for us!
We are headed to Bay Hill this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. The course is a Par 72 and 7,419 yards. We are at a sight where Tiger has won 8 times and because of his performance of last week, he is the odds-on favourite this week. It is interesting that DraftKings has him as the 5th highest guy. With min price being $6,700 this week, you're going to have to choose which top guy to play. For the stats, I'm looking at B.O.B. %, SG: Approach the Green, Proximity, SG: Par 4 and Par 5 scoring.
Alex Noren ($9,200) – Noren is getting into form before the major season which is exciting. He had that moment at the Farmers finishing 2nd in a playoff to Jason Day and since then, he has been knocking on the door. He has 3 top 15s entering this week after that playoff lost. For stats, he's 3rd in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring; 6th in the field for SG: Approach the Green; and 7th in the for B.O.B.%. With a 49th finish here last year, he'd be a nice one and done pick if you haven't used yet.
Jason Kokrak ($8,000) – Kokrak seems to be at value here, especially with his course history here. He hasn't missed in the last 4 years with a 4th place finish back in 2014. For stats, he's 4th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring; 7th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring; and 9th in the field for B.O.B. %. With a sneaky top 10 last week, Kokrak will be my dark horse.
Zach Johnson ($7,700) – Just like Kokrak, Z.J. is a little cheaper than normal considering his recent play and his course history. Since the Safeway Open this year, Zach has 5 top 20 finishes and he seems to be a “free square" this week. He has back-to-back top 10s in 2015-2016 here and hasn't miss a cut in the last 5 years. For stats, he's 12th in the field for SG: Approach the Green; 12th in the field for Proximity; and 16th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring.
Kevin Chappell ($7,300) – Chappell looks in form entering this week. Since the Hero, he hasn't missed a cut and has a couple of top 10s this season. He has a runner up finish here back in 2016. For stats, he's 4th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring; he's 13th in the field for SG: Approach the Green; and he's 17th in the field for Proximity.
Sam Burns ($7,200) – Burns is becoming a really talented player. I do believe with that round on Sunday at the Honda, playing with Tiger, he has the confidence to play here. I also did see, that Burns needs to make the cut and I believe a top 30 finish to achieve some status on the tour. So, I will be riding Burns' train until it ends. For stats though, he's 5th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring; 22nd in the field for B.O.B. %; and 25th in the field for SG: Approach the Green.
Cash Games: For cash games, I like to play the small field 50/50s, for example, anything less than 100 entrants. I tend to make just 1 lineup and that lineup will have the 6 golfers who I think will have the best chance of making it to the weekend and have the upside of a top 10 finish.
3 Entry Max GPPs: For these tournaments, think of it as one lineup for cash, one for leagues and one that is completely different than the first 2. This technique is very common among the DFS community and even the DFS pros. Just start of with your cash lineup then use a “2 vs. 2" strategy for the other lineups.
20 – 150 Max GPPs: With these, you can have a player pool anywhere from 15-100 players. For 20 max GPPS, I tend to stay closer to 15-18 golfers in my pool. For 150 max GPPs, I recommend using around 25-30 golfers.
For the first time in a few weeks, there doesn't seem to be any advantage for stacking tee times this week. If there are any changes with the weather, I will let you guys know via twitter.
Good luck everyone!!