PGA The First Tee: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Recap

This week reminded us once again to practice bankroll management. There were a lot of popular players that missed the cut, including, Spieth and Webb. For me, I had zero 6/6 lineups and I had about 4 lineups that were 5/6. Spaun; Moore; and Cauley were the cons for me this week. It's a situation where you just tell yourself that, “we're on to next week."

This Week

We are back to a 3-course rotation and another Pro-Am event. Thankfully, this our last one for the season. The 3 courses that the players will be playing are Monterey Peninsula; Spyglass Hill; and of course, Pebble Beach. All 3 courses are a Par 72 and less than 7,200 yards. The players to watch this week will be Rory and Dustin. I can see both of those players being popular with D.J. winning his last start and Rory playing incredible over in Europe with 2 straight top 3 finishes. The ball striking stats that looking for are SG: Off the Tee; SG: Approach the Green; SG: Around the Green. The scoring stats that I'm looking for are SG: Birdie or Better %; SG: Par 4 scoring; and SG: Par 5 scoring.

Cash Plays

Patrick Cantlay ($8,900) – Cantlay is also rounding into form. He already has a win at the Shriners and he's made 2 cuts out of his 2 starts here including a 9^th place finish in 2013. For stats, he's 8^th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring; 12^th in the field for SG: Off the Tee; and 26^th in the field for SG: B.O.B. %.

Pat Perez ($8,600) – Perez seems to be in his prime right now. He won at the CIMB Classic and hasn't in a while and he's back at a tournament he seems to excel at. He hasn't missed a cut here in the last 5 years, including, 2 top 10s and a 14^th place finish last year. For stats, he's 3^rd in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring; 7^th in the field for SG: B.O.B.%; and he's 21^st in the field for SG: Around the Green. He could be nice one and done pick this week.

Chesson Hadley ($8,500) – Hadley has become a consistent ball striker and it shows in his recent play. He had a chance of winning last week and he started with 3 straight top 5 finishes this season. He's played here 3 times and he has a missed cut with 2 top 10s. For stats, he's 5^th in the field for SG: B.O.B.%; 1^st in the field for SG: Approach the Green; and 8^th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring. He's going to be my dark horse pick for this week!

GPP Plays

Chris Kirk ($7,100) – Kirk will be your classic GPP play this week. He seems to have a pattern right now. He'll do well for 2 weeks then he'll become popular and misses the cut the week after. With a 11^th place finish last week, it feels like it's going to happen again. However, with his stats, it's hard to pass up. He's 7^th in the field for SG: Approach the Green; 10^th in the field for SG: Around the Green; and 15^th in the field for SG: B.O.B.%.

Brandon Harkins ($7,000) – Even though Harkins missed the cut by 1 stroke last week, I still like him as good GPP play this week. He hasn't played here before and he does have a couple top 15 finishes before the missed cut last week. For stats, he's 6^th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring; 17^th in the field for SG: B.O.B.%; and 19^th in the field for SG: Around the Green.

Exposure

Cash Games: For cash games, I like to play the small field 50/50s, for example, anything less than 100 entrants. I tend to make just 1 lineup and that lineup will have the 6 golfers who I think will give me the best chance of 6/6 and finishing high both cash and GPPs.

3 Entry Max GPPs: For these tournaments, think of it as one lineup for cash, one for leagues and one that is completely different than the first 2. This technique is very common among the DFS community and even the DFS pros. Just start of with your cash lineup then use a “2 vs. 2" strategy for the other lineups.

20 – 150 Max GPPs: With these, you can have a player pool anywhere from 15-100 players. For 20 max GPPS, I tend to stay closer to 15-18 golfers in my pool. For 150 max GPPs, I recommend using around 25-30 golfers.

Weather

As of Monday afternoon, it looks like there will be no advantage on stacking tee times. The winds will be no more than 10 mph for both Thursday and Friday and even the weekend. If there are any changes, I let you guys know on twitter.

Good luck everyone!