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Last week was one of the great sweats for one of our guys, CH3! I had a lineup with him paired up with Andrew Putnam in the $33. Unfortunately, the course was too receptive and there were a lot of guys between CH3 and Wise for the lineup to move up higher. Overall, it was good sweat on Sunday and we're on to the next one. Here's a recap on our guys did and here's a lineup I used in the $33.
Charles Howell: 98.5 DK Points
Martin Laird: 23.5 DK Points
Rory Sabbatini: 91 DK Points
Grayson Murray: 23.5 DK Points
Andrew Putnam: 74.5 DK Points
My $33 Lineup
Brendan Grace: 128.5 DK Points
J.B. Holmes: 69 DK Points
Charles Howell III: 98 DK Points
Marc Leishman: 132 DK Points
Kevin Na: 113 DK Points
Andrew Putnam: 74.5 DK Points
This week we are headed to Colonial Country Club for the Fort Worth Invitational. The course is a Par 70 and it's 7,209 yards. These past 2 weeks remind me of the first 2 weeks in Hawaii where the first week for the T.O.C., the fairways are so wide that it's almost impossible to miss and the greens are so large that a 3 putt is almost the norm. The following week would be the Sony Open where the fairways and greens are half the size. We got that same situation here. Last week, you had one of the widest fairways and one of biggest greens on tour. This week, at Colonial, it's the total opposite. You must hit the fairways here and you need to scramble well because you will miss the greens being so small. The stats that I will be looking at this week are SG: Approach the Green; Proximity; SG: Off the Tee; SG: Around the Green; SG: Par 4 scoring; and since it helped my lineup last week, I will go back to using DK Points in the model.
Emiliano Grillo ($8,600) – It feels that Grillo is close for a win this season. He hasn't missed a cut and he has 3 top 20s in his last 4 starts. He's made the cut here in his first 2 starts. For stats, he's 3rd in the field for SG: APP; 14th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring; and 17th in the field for SG: OTT. With his recent play as of late, he'll be my pick to win.
Xander Schauffele ($8,200) – X is playing consistently well as of late. He has made 8 straight cuts in a row, which includes a runner up finish at The Players. For stats, he's 8th in the field for SG: APP; 31st in the field for SG: OTT; and 42nd in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring. He made the cut here last year, finishing in the top 50.
Charley Hoffman ($7,900) – This seems like an obvious play, but that's what you get with Charley playing in Texas and the fact that he's less than $8,000. His history at Colonial is one of the best in the field. In the last 5 years, he has made every cut and has finished 10th back in 2015. He has 3 top 25 finishes in his last 5 starts. For stats, he's 20th in the field for SG: APP; 23rd in the field for DK points; and 24th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring.
Kevin Tway ($7,400) – Tway is having a good season in his own right. In his last 8 starts, he has 1 miss cut and he managed to sneak in a top 10 last week. He played here last year, finishing inside the top 20. For stats, he's 18th in the field for SG: APP; 27th in the field for SG: OTT; and 29th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring.
Joel Dahmen ($7,100) – Dahmen is showing signs of life in his last 2 starts, finishing inside the top 20 in both starts. For stats, he's 21st in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring; 28th in the field for SG: OTT; and 38th in the field for SG: APP. With no history here, he'll be my dark horse this week.
Cash Games: For cash games, I like to play the small field 50/50s, for example, anything less than 100 entrants. I tend to make just 1 lineup and that lineup will have the 6 golfers who I think will have the best chance of making it to the weekend and have the upside of a top 10 finish.
3 Entry Max GPPs: For these tournaments, think of it as one lineup for cash, one for leagues and one that is completely different than the first 2. This technique is very common among the DFS community and even the DFS pros. Just start of with your cash lineup then use a “2 vs. 2" strategy for the other lineups.
20 – 150 Max GPPs: With these, you can have a player pool anywhere from 15-100 players. For 20 max GPPS, I tend to stay closer to 15-18 golfers in my pool. For 150 max GPPs, I recommend using around 25-30 golfers.
As of Monday evening, there's a small chance of thunderstorms for Thursday afternoon and into the evening. Other than that, the winds seem to be low for most of the week. If there are any changes to the forecast, I will update it via twitter by Wednesday.
Good luck everyone!!
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