PGA The First Tee: Wells Fargo Championship

Recap

It was a good week to have off just to relax and enjoy the Zurich Classic with its new format, including the 'walk-up music'. It was interesting to hear the choices that some of the players made with their music. I was surprise there was more Metallica than there was Country. Congrats to Billy Horschel and Scott Piercy on their victory! Hope this 'walk-up music' will be a trend and maybe a couple more tournaments will start to incorporate it.

This Week

We are back to Quail Hollow after having a year off for hosting the PGA Championship. It's a Par 72 and over 7,400 yards. We finally have a decent field since the Masters and that means we will have some value. The stats that I will be looking for this week are B.O.B.%; SG: Off the Tee; SG: Approach the Green; Proximity; Driving Distance; and SG: Par 5 scoring.

Cash Plays

Patrick Reed ($9,700) – Reed is back in action after his win at The Masters and getting some rust off from playing last week. In his last 4 starts, he has finished inside the top 10 in 3 of them, including that W and a 2^nd place finish at Valspar. He has made the cut here in 2015 and 2016 and he also finished runner up here at the PGA last year. He's 1^st in the field for B.O.B.%; 11^th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring; and 34^th in the field for SG: Approach the Green.

Daniel Berger ($8,000) – Berger is on pace for a solid 2018 season. He has 2 top 20s in his last 5 starts. He has made 2 cuts at Quail Hollow in 2015 and 2016, finishing inside the top 30 in both attempts. He's 28^th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring; 41^st in the field for SG: Off the Tee; and 42^nd in the field for B.O.B.%. He's going to be my pick to win this week.

Jamie Lovemark ($7,100) – Lovemark looks like he's back to making cuts again. He hasn't missed a cut this season since the Farmers. During that stretch, he has 5 top 30s, including a 7^th place finish at the Honda. He's 5^th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring; 13^th in the field for SG: Approach the Green; and 43^rd in the field for Driving Distance. With making the cut here last year at the PGA, he's going to be my dark horse pick for the week.

GPP Plays

Sean O'Hair ($7,300) – O'Hair was very close to make it for cash, but because of his volatility, you just really don't know if he's going to make the cut and give you a top 10 finish or just missed the weekend by 1 stroke. With a runner up finish at the Valero Texas Open and playing well in Zurich with Jimmy Walker, he's on track to probably give you a missed cut. However, it's hard to pass him up with his stats. He's 27th in the field for SG: Off the Tee; 28th in the field for SG: Approach the Green; and he's 27th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring.

Nick Watney ($7,000) – Watney, just like Lovemark, looks healthy again and is making cuts. He hasn't missed a cut since the RSM Classic. In that stretch, he has 5 top 35 finishes, which includes a 20^th place finish at the Valero Texas open. That's his best finish since last year's Quicken Loans. He does have a top 10 finish here back in 2013 with a couple miss cuts after that. For stats, he's 9^th in Driving Distance; 15^th in the field for Proximity; and 29^th in the field for SG: Off the Tee.

Exposure

Cash Games: For cash games, I like to play the small field 50/50s, for example, anything less than 100 entrants. I tend to make just 1 lineup and that lineup will have the 6 golfers who I think will have the best chance of making it to the weekend and have the upside of a top 10 finish.

3 Entry Max GPPs: For these tournaments, think of it as one lineup for cash, one for leagues and one that is completely different than the first 2. This technique is very common among the DFS community and even the DFS pros. Just start of with your cash lineup then use a “2 vs. 2" strategy for the other lineups.

20 – 150 Max GPPs: With these, you can have a player pool anywhere from 15-100 players. For 20 max GPPS, I tend to stay closer to 15-18 golfers in my pool. For 150 max GPPs, I recommend using around 25-30 golfers.

Weather

As of Monday evening, there doesn't seem to be any advantage for the first two days. It will be sunny and cloudy for Thursday and Friday. They're calling for a slight chance of rain on Sunday, however, no wind to be concern about throughout the week. If there are any changes in the forecast, I will let you know via twitter.

Good luck everyone!!