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This past week was disappointing. I had 9 players total in my pool and only two missed the cut. Those were Knox and Castro. Knox couldn't hit his irons the way he wanted to and Castro couldn't make a putt. So all 4 of my lineups were dead by Friday night. That's the risk you take if you use your core 100%. Congrats to Matsu on his second Phoenix Open title!
We are headed to Pebble Beach, California. The host for AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. This tournament has three courses that the pros rotate for the first three days and then they play Pebble Beach on the final day. The three courses are Pebble Beach; Monterey Peninsula; and Spyglass Hill. All three courses are under 7,000 yards and a par 72. The stats that I'm looking for this week are course history; recent form for the past 6 weeks; G.I.R. % for the past 6 weeks; and driving accuracy. Here are my core plays for this week.
Dustin Johnson ($11,800) – This week is going to be hard to choose which player you want in your player pool. The top 3 guys have solid course history and recent stats. So, you have to pick one, and my guy this week is Dustin Johnson. He has 4 top 10s in his last 7 attempts at this event with only 1 miss cut. In his recent form, he has racked up 4 top 10s in his last 6 events and he's averaging 77% with his G.I.R. and 52% with his driving accuracy.
Matt Kuchar ($8,600) – Before last week, Matt hasn't played since the RSM Classic and he showed no sign of rust. After being the first round leader, he carded two more rounds in the 60s and with a final round, 70, he finished in 9th. Although, he hasn't played here since 2010 in the U.S. Open, he still finished in 6th. With a solid 72% of greens and finding the fairway 61% of the time, there's a reason why they call him Mr. top 10.
Sean O'Hair ($7,300) – Sean has played here 7 times and in those 7 attempts, he has not missed a cut and has carded 2 top 20 finishes during that stretch. During his last 6 events, he finished inside the top 10 twice, has a G.I.R.% at 78% and his driving accuracy is at 60%. Very solid for a guy that's only $7,300.
Ryan Armour ($6,900) – Ryan has played here twice before and has finished inside the top 30th in both attempts. He is just getting into form with making his last 3 cuts and finishing in the middle of the pack. I like him to be in my core because of his driving accuracy being at 71% and that he's hitting his greens at 65%. You add those stats with his solid 2 finishes at this event, he's a solid core play for this week.
For my exposures, I like to use my core players in 70-100% of my lineups depending on the week. For this week, I'm going to use 100% for all 4 of my players and add about 4-6 other players for the rest of my player pool. That way, I can keep it tight and if it hits, then I have a good chance of a big payday. Which, at the end of the day, is what we're all trying to achieve.
Good luck everyone!