PGA Daily Fantasy & Sports Gambling Links
Recap
Another week, another close one for us for having a positive R.O.I. %. Having Robert Garrigus and Andrew Putnam really killed our chances after Friday. Looking back at it now, I think I still would've played them, just not all in on them. I made 3 lineups total for the Greenbrier. Here's a look at my player pool and my best lineup.
PLAYER'S NAME | EXPOSURE % (3 LINEUPS) |
KEEGAN BRADLEY | 100 |
ANDREW PUTNAM | 100 |
ROBERT GARRIGUS | 66.7 |
RYAN ARMOUR | 66.7 |
CHENG-TSUNG PAN | 33.3 |
RUSSELL HENLEY | 33.3 |
KEVIN NA | 33.3 |
SCOTT PIERCY | 33.3 |
RYAN MOORE | 33.3 |
TONEY FINAU | 33.3 |
JOAQUIN NIEMANN | 33.3 |
NORMAN XIONG | 33.3 |
BEST LINEUP | DK POINTS | FINISH POSITION |
KEEGAN BRADLEY | 88 | T13 |
ROBERT GARRIGUS | 10.5 | MC |
RUSSELL HENLEY | 90.5 | 10 |
KEVIN NA | 139 | 1 |
CHENG-TSUNG PAN | 67.5 | T39 |
ANDREW PUTNAM | 25 | MC |
So, as you can see, this lineup was 186 points away from 1st place in the $5 GPP. My two biggest busts for the week were obviously Garrigus and Putnam. What I should've done was drop Garrigus for Kelly Kraft you did finish 5th here last year and had made 3 out his last 4 cuts coming into the week. He finished runner up with 104.5 points. The next move after that would've been dropping Putnam for Dahmen, who's had 5 top 25's in his last 7 starts. Dahmen finished 5th with 97 points. With Dahmen and Kraft having a combine 201.5 points with the difference of the 35.5 points of Garrigus and Putnam, the total amount would've been 166 points more and having a total of 586.5. That would have put this lineup in 13th place. I feel like our process is there and with a minor tweak, we could have a awesome summer ahead! Congrats to Kevin Na on his 2nd title! On to the John Deere.
This Week
We are headed to Silvis, Illinois for the John Deere Classic. The course is called TPC Deere Run, and it's a Par 71; 7,268 yards. This week, we have two course horses that are playing, and those players are Zach Johnson and Steve Stricker. Look for them to be very popular this week. Molinari is in the field after his runaway victory back at the Quicken Loans and would be the guy to beat again this week. For stats, I'm going to change it up a bit and see what happens. As always, I'm looking at SG: Approach the Green; SG: Par 4 scoring; B.O.B. %. The stats that will be different will be SG: Tee to Green; SG: Par 5 scoring; and I'm looking at Bogey Avoidance.
Cash Plays
Ryan Moore ($10,200) – Moore is an excellent striker of the golf ball. He just needs and average week with the putter and he could have a chance to win this week for his 2nd John Deere title. For stats, he's 1st in the field for SG: Tee to Green; 1st in the field for Bogey Avoidance; and 2nd in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring. He's made 3 out his last 4 starts coming into this week, which includes, 2 13th place finishes. With decent course history at Deere Run, including a win in 2016, look for him to be at the top of my list in my player pool. He's going to be my pick to win this week!
Wesley Bryan ($9,100) – I believe this will be the first time for me to play Wesley. I've never really felt comfortable playing him and it seems now he has found his rhythm and is playing some solid golf recently. He has made 5 cuts in a row, which includes 2 top 30s. He has made 2 top 10s here, which includes a 3rd place finish last year. For stats, he's 10th in the field for Bogey Avoidance; 13th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring; and 25th in the field for SG: Approach the Green. He'll be my dark horse this week.
Troy Merritt ($7,200) – With this type of field, it makes since to have look at Merritt for cash this week being only at $7,200. Merritt has made 3 out of 4 cuts here and has finished 20th back in 2014. He has 1 MC in his last 8 starts and has 2 top 20 finishes in the last 3. For stats, he's 27th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring; 36th in the field for SG: Tee to Green; and 37th in the field for B.O.B. %.
GPP Plays
Corey Conners ($7,300) – Have to go to the Canadian this week. He's been pretty solid recently and in a week with little value, you need to find that “diamond in the rough" down here in the low $7,000s. Corey has 1 MC in his last 8 and does have a top 10 finish back at the Fort Worth Invitational. For stats, he's 7th in the field for SG: Tee to Green; 15th in the field for SG: Approach the Green; and 18th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring.
Brandon Harkins ($7,300) – Harkins will be our last guy for this week. He's been our staple this year and there's no reason to fade him this week with this weak field. For stats, he's 7th in the field for B.O.B. %; 12th in the field for SG: Par 4 scoring; and 18th in the field for Bogey Avoidance. He has made 4 straight cuts in a row and finished inside the top 40 in all 4.
Exposure
Cash Games: For cash games, I like to play the small field 50/50s, for example, anything less than 100 entrants. I tend to make just 1 lineup and that lineup will have the 6 golfers who I think will have the best chance of making it to the weekend and have the upside of a top 10 finish.
3 Entry Max GPPs: For these tournaments, think of it as one lineup for cash, one for leagues and one that is completely different than the first 2. This technique is very common among the DFS community and even the DFS pros. Just start of with your cash lineup then use a “2 vs. 2" strategy for the other lineups.
20 – 150 Max GPPs: With these, you can have a player pool anywhere from 15-100 players. For 20 max GPPS, I tend to stay closer to 15-18 golfers in my pool. For 150 max GPPs, I recommend using around 25-30 golfers.
Weather
As of Monday evening, there are minimal winds to affect both waves. At this time I will give a slight edge for early/late tee times. Thursday is calling for calm winds through out the day, with no more than 13 mph in gusts. Friday is very similar except for the afternoon when the winds die down a bit to only about 4 mph with gusts up to 8 mph. If there are any changes, then I will let you guys know via twitter.
Good luck everyone!!
Login or Register to join the conversation.