Super Bowl 55 is set to be played on February 7th, 2021. We have a few ways to go and a regular-season to get through before then. DraftKings has posted Super Bowl Odds, and it is no surprise to see Kansas City, Baltimore, San Francisco, and New Orleans leading the way. The 49ers and Chiefs battled it out until the end for Super Bowl 54, as the Chiefs would end up taking that one late. Baltimore won 14 games last season but fizzled out in the opening round of the playoffs. Oddsmakers expect the powerhouses to make a deep run again, but there are some strong values to consider.
|Team||Current Odds||Opening Odds|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+325||+650|
|New Orleans Saints||+600||+1000|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+700||+1200|
|Green Bay Packers||+900||+2200|
|Los Angeles Rams||+1600||+6000|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+4000||+8000|
|New England Patriots||+9000||+2500|
|San Francisco 49ers||+10000||+1000|
|New York Giants||+20000||+8000|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+30000||+5000|
|Washington Football Team||+30000||+25000|
|New York Jets||+250000||+12500|
NFL Expands Playoffs
Getting into the playoffs just got a bit easier. The NFL has opened up the playoff format to include 14 teams. The one-seed would earn a bye week while the rest play and are seeded based on the record. This is going to push more 9-7 teams into the postseason and possibly some 10-6 teams if the division is strong. Getting into the playoffs is half the battle, and once that happens, anything can happen. We have seen six seed Wild Card teams make Super Bowl runs. Those fringe teams that project to be around the 8-9 win mark now have better odds of making the playoffs.
Opening Line Changes
First things first, the opening line is when odds are set for a game for the first time. This is what the public sees first, and then adjustments are made leading up until game time. The same goes for these futures odds. You have a starting quarterback gets injured for the season, their odds will take a major hit. A team can make a big trade for a key player, and they will see their odds improve. We have already begun to see changes in the lines for the Super Bowl odds.
We have already seen a few moves over the offseason, and the big trade was between Seattle and the New York Jets. Jamal Adams finding his way to Seattle will give the Seahawks a major bump to their defense. Adams is one of the best defensive players in the league. The Seahawks opened at +2200 and now are at +2000. This is a value either way. While the Seahawks are not the best ran organization, they do have Russell Wilson, who can always make a run.
The Colts and the Steelers have both moved from +2800 to +2500. Health is going to dictate both of their seasons, as we saw the offense collapse without Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh last season. The Colts did not have consistent play from their offense, but they did see an improvement in the defense. Everything is going to run through Baltimore and Kansas City, which makes it tough for those next tier teams in the AFC. However, the Colts have pulled some surprise upsets, and the Steelers have an elite defense.
There are several teams that have gone down in odds since the opening lines. The Browns have been one of the biggest movers going from +3300 to +4000. This isn't surprising as +3300 was a bit high in consideration to some other teams. The talent is there on both sides of the ball, but the obstacles in front of them are still too much to overcome. The Los Angeles Chargers opened at +4000 and are now at +4500. They have a Super Bowl worthy defense, but the offense is a big question mark given the quarterback duo of Tyrod Taylor and Justin Herbert. The Jets opened at +6600, and now they have dropped to +10000—no surprise here after the Adams trade.
Why It’s Best To Bet On The Favorites Early
A lot can happen over the next few weeks, but chances are the odds of teams like the Chiefs, Ravens, Saints, and 49ers will not be as appealing for your ROI as we move closer and closer to that Super Bowl date. The Chiefs and Ravens are both around +600 to win the Super Bowl right now. These numbers should stay in this range until the start of the regular season. As they begin to win games during the regular season and establish themselves as a playoff team, the odds will shift, making it not as strong of value anymore. While you run the risk of a quarterback getting injured or something along those lines that can affect the seasonal outcome, the chances are still on your side for Baltimore and KC.
NFC Super Bowl Hopefuls
The NFC is far more wide open than the AFC is currently. The reigning NFC Champions, the San Francisco 49ers, have the third-best odds in the league and the best within their own division. Now, some are calling for some regression for the 49ers. The offense was efficient but didn't quite pack the same name value as a team like the Saints. San Francisco has a very tough division to get through with a Seattle team that is always around ten wins and then the Rams who have fallen off a bit but will still be a team to watch out for. Arizona has also bolstered their lineup on both sides of the ball. It will be a tougher year for the 49ers on paper.
New Orleans has been on the verge of a Super Bowl for the last few seasons. They have had some bad luck be a part of that, but overall they have made mistakes in the postseason that led to those bad luck losses. The Saints added a WR2 for Drew Brees with Emmanuel Sanders. They will bring back one of the best offensive lines and offenses in football. The Saints are certainly a threat to get to the Super Bowl and have an offense to contend with the Chiefs/Ravens. Within the same division, the offseason moves the Buccaneers have made put them high on the table. They signed Tom Brady and landed a former retired teammate of his, Rob Gronkowski. Offensively the team is loaded, and the defense is starting to take shape.
The Seahawks are the interesting value here as they are at +2000 and have made an excellent move for this season alone, acquiring Jamal Adams. The bonehead moves not addressing the offensive line, and letting their defense regress in a major way has been masked by Wilson's excellence in the pocket. Like the 49ers, they are in one of the toughest divisions in football and will have a tough schedule ahead of them. This team is destined to make the playoffs now that they are also expanded.
AFC Super Bowl Hopefuls
The AFC is a bit top-heavy now with the Chiefs and Ravens being the clear cut tier one in the conference. Kansas City is coming off a Super Bowl-winning season, and the Ravens won 14 games. The flop in the postseason is what they are trying to fix. They added pieces through the draft, but the Calais Campbell pickup is going to make a massive difference for their interior line. Baltimore is fully capable of having another strong year where they win double-digit games and establish themselves as a top seed. It will be slightly tougher with a division that, when healthy, can compete against anyone. Still, Baltimore is the second-best team in the league behind Kansas City. If they meet in an AFC Championship game, it would be one for the ages.
Kansas City is the front runner, and I don't think anybody can argue with that. They paid Mahomes his massive contract and will retain most of the same names from the roster last season. The Chiefs have a relatively easy division for them to get through, but this speaks more to the talent of the Chiefs because the division isn't that bad. The opposing offenses will just struggle to keep up. They should be able to take one of the top two seeds and have home-field advantage, although that likely won't be a thing in 2020. Kansas City is the best offseason bet to win the Super Bowl. Those odds will move up as the year progresses.
The next best odds after the Chiefs and the Ravens are still the New England Patriots. After a few key defensive players have opted out, it will weaken their defense slightly. They did sign Cam Newton, but we have no idea what Newton we will get. Even if all the pieces of the puzzle came together, the weapons are still weak, and it will be tough to overcome one of the Ravens or Chiefs. This tier with the Patriots, Colts, and Steelers is a bit odd. A lot has to go right for them to make a deep run. Buffalo is the team that I expected to be higher given the defense is one of the best, and Stefon Diggs is now the WR1.
- When Is Super Bowl 55?
- What Channel Is Super Bowl 55 On?
- Can I Bet On The Super Bowl Legally?
- Who Is Favored To Win Super Bowl 55?
- Who Plays In The Super Bowl?
Super Bowl 55 is on Sunday, February 7th, 2021. This is currently the scheduled date, granted the NFL schedule remains intact due to the global pandemic. It will be played in Tampa Bay at the home of the Buccaneers.
The Super Bowl rotates networks each year, but CBS will be televising his one. It will start at 6:30 ET. That means you will get to hear the voices of Jim Nantz and Tony Romo.
Yes, if you are in these states: NY, NJ, PA, NH, PA, RI, WV, OR, IN, IA, NV, AR, DE, MS, NM. There are sportsbooks online to wager on games, and some offer mobile betting as well.
The number one team across all sportsbooks right now is the Kansas City Chiefs. This is no surprise with Patrick Mahomes on the roster and essentially the same group of guys as last season.
Each conference has one winner, which is decided in the Conference Championship games two weeks prior to the Super Bowl. The NFC Champion will face the AFC Champion in the Super Bowl.