Super Bowl 55 is set to be played on February 7th, 2021. We have a few ways to go and a regular-season to get through before then. DraftKings has posted Super Bowl Odds, and it is no surprise to see Kansas City, Baltimore, San Francisco, and New Orleans leading the way. The 49ers and Chiefs battled it out until the end for Super Bowl 54, as the Chiefs would end up taking that one late. Baltimore won 14 games last season but fizzled out in the opening round of the playoffs. Oddsmakers expect the powerhouses to make a deep run again, but there are some strong values to consider.
NFL Expands Playoffs
Getting into the playoffs just got a bit easier. The NFL has opened up the playoff format to include 14 teams. The one-seed would earn a bye week while the rest play and are seeded based on the record. This is going to push more 9-7 teams into the postseason and possibly some 10-6 teams if the division is strong. Getting into the playoffs is half the battle, and once that happens, anything can happen. We have seen six seed Wild Card teams make Super Bowl runs. Those fringe teams that project to be around the 8-9 win mark now have better odds of making the playoffs.
Opening Line Changes
First things first, the opening line is when odds are set for a game for the first time. This is what the public sees first, and then adjustments are made leading up until game time. The same goes for these future odds. You have a starting quarterback gets injured for the season, their odds will take a major hit. A team can make a big trade for a key player, and they will see their odds improve. We have already begun to see changes in the lines for the Super Bowl odds.
We have already seen a few moves over the offseason, and the big trade was between Seattle and the New York Jets. Jamal Adams finding his way to Seattle will give the Seahawks a major bump to their defense. Adams is one of the best defensive players in the league. The Seahawks opened at +2200 and now are at +2000. This is a value either way. While the Seahawks are not the best ran organization, they do have Russell Wilson, who can always make a run.
The Colts and the Steelers have both moved from +2800 to +2500. Health is going to dictate both of their seasons, as we saw the offense collapse without Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh last season. The Colts did not have consistent play from their offense, but they did see an improvement in the defense. Everything is going to run through Baltimore and Kansas City, which makes it tough for those next tier teams in the AFC. However, the Colts have pulled some surprise upsets, and the Steelers have an elite defense.
There are several teams that have gone down in odds since the opening lines. The Browns have been one of the biggest movers going from +3300 to +4000. This isn't surprising as +3300 was a bit high in consideration to some other teams. The talent is there on both sides of the ball, but the obstacles in front of them are still too much to overcome. The Los Angeles Chargers opened at +4000 and are now at +4500. They have a Super Bowl worthy defense, but the offense is a big question mark given the quarterback duo of Tyrod Taylor and Justin Herbert. The Jets opened at +6600, and now they have dropped to +10000—no surprise here after the Adams trade.
Why It’s Best To Bet On The Favorites Early
A lot can happen over the next few weeks, but chances are the odds of teams like the Chiefs, Ravens, Saints, and 49ers will not be as appealing for your ROI as we move closer and closer to that Super Bowl date. The Chiefs and Ravens are both around +600 to win the Super Bowl right now. These numbers should stay in this range until the start of the regular season. As they begin to win games during the regular season and establish themselves as a playoff team, the odds will shift, making it not as strong of value anymore. While you run the risk of a quarterback getting injured or something along those lines that can affect the seasonal outcome, the chances are still on your side for Baltimore and KC.
Another week is crossed off and the odds continue to become less valuable as the weeks move on. The final four are here and the Packers are +220 and the favorites over the Buccaneers to make it to the Super Bowl. Tampa Bay is +450. The Buccaneers got over their rivals the Saints after losing the two regular-season games this season. Tampa's defense could have a real impact down the stretch as they were excellent this past week. However, the fact that they don't have a shutdown corner that can limit Davante Adams is a real problem. Aaron Rodgers will face a young Tampa secondary and continues to play lights out. Green Bay put up 30+ against the Rams defense that was holding teams to under 20 points per game this season. Green Bay is still my pick to come out of the NFC, but the value for the Super Bowl has dropped over the past few weeks. The Bucs are intriguing because the offense is loaded with weapons and if they can get those timely turnovers, it isn't out of the question they can make a run.
We get the AFC matchup we all deserve as two of the top teams in the league will square off. Offensively these teams have put up monster numbers, as they both ranked top-eight in points per game this season. Defensively they are kind of similar as well with the run defense being a weakness but a strong secondary. The Bills will have their hands full trying to stop Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce this week. However, the Bills receiving core is filled with options. They have four guys, including Stefon Diggs who has taken an alpha-like leap his first year in Buffalo. The Chiefs are favored by three and would be favored in the Super Bowl regardless of the opponent. I find the Packers match up a bit better against the Chiefs where if the Chiefs and Bucs end up being in the Super Bowl, the Chiefs odds will improve greatly. If the Bills win this week, who are +325 to win the Super Bowl, it is going to be very intriguing based on the matchup. Either way, we are going to get a phenomenal matchup.
- When Is Super Bowl 55?
- What Channel Is Super Bowl 55 On?
- Can I Bet On The Super Bowl Legally?
- Who Is Favored To Win Super Bowl 55?
- Who Plays In The Super Bowl?
Super Bowl 55 is on Sunday, February 7th, 2021. This is currently the scheduled date, granted the NFL schedule remains intact due to the global pandemic. It will be played in Tampa Bay at the home of the Buccaneers.
The Super Bowl rotates networks each year, but CBS will be televising his one. It will start at 6:30 ET. That means you will get to hear the voices of Jim Nantz and Tony Romo.
Yes, if you are in these states: NY, NJ, PA, NH, PA, RI, WV, OR, IN, IA, NV, AR, DE, MS, NM. There are sportsbooks online to wager on games, and some offer mobile betting as well.
The number one team across all sportsbooks right now is the Kansas City Chiefs. This is no surprise with Patrick Mahomes on the roster and essentially the same group of guys as last season.
Each conference has one winner, which is decided in the Conference Championship games two weeks prior to the Super Bowl. The NFC Champion will face the AFC Champion in the Super Bowl.