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MLB Projections

DFC Daily Fantasy Baseball Projections

For each player we start with a baseline projection that day based on past performance and matchup indicators. This baseline projection is excellent for use in cash games such as head-to-heads and 50/50s as it's a fairly conservative projections. We then offer the ability for the user to customize the projection to their liking using the advanced stats we provide for you. Hitters and pitchers have different affecting factors, so let's walk through each.

Pitchers

Park Factor: Park factors are very important as each park plays differently for a variety of reasons. The average park factor is 1. By checking the park factor box, the player's baseline projection will be updated based on the park they are playing in on that particular night.

Opp Team Run Total: This is the Vegas Line for the opposing team's run total against the pitcher. By checking this box, you emphasize what Vegas thinks the scoring against the pitcher is going to be.

Moneyline: Another Vegas stat, this one gives you the pitcher's likelyhood of winning the game, which is a huge boost to his value at times as it's a highly valued part of DFS scoring.

Opp wOBA: This is the opponents weighted on-base percentage against the handedness of the pitcher. It effectively rates the ability of the opposing team to get on base.

Opp ISO: This is the opponents isolated power rating against the handedness of your pitcher , which gives you a good idea of the total power of the lineup the pitcher is facing and therefore how worried you need to be about extra base hits.

Opp K%: This is the strikeout rate of the opposing team against the handedness of your pitcher. Even if your pitcher isn't a great strikeout pitcher, he may be able to rack up more strikeouts than usual against a team that strikes out a lot in general.

Cafe Value: This takes your personal projection and adjusts it based on the value his salary provides on the site you have selected. As true a measure of site value as you'll find.

Hitters

Park Factor: Park factors are very important as each park plays differently for a variety of reasons. The average park factor is 1. By checking the park factor box, the player's baseline projection will be updated based on the park they are playing in on that particular night.

Team Run Total: This is the Vegas Line for the hitter's team run total that day. By checking this box, you emphasize what Vegas thinks the scoring for your hitter's offense in total is going to be.

wOBA: This is your hitter's weighted on-base percentage against the handedness of the pitcher he's facing. It effectively rates the ability of the your hitter to get on base.

ISO: This is the hitter's isolated power rating against the handedness of the opposing pitcher, which gives you a good idea of the total power of the hitter has and correlates well to extra base hits.

OPS: This is on-base percentage plus slugging percentage and is a great indicator of a player's overall hitting value to his team.

wRC+: This has become a really popular statistic as it provides weighted runs created. It is adjusted for park and pitching factors to keep the numbers and differences among players very consistent.