DraftKings Optimal Stacks: NFL Week 1

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After the third Brady-Gronkowski touchdown, it was time to head to the DFC tools section and test these bad boys out. I first went to the stack generator, and generated stacks with three players. The only edit I made to the filters was eliminating the running back. Adding a running back in a stack can be ideal at times, but only for a handful of teams. The Steelers, Packers, and Eagles come to mind right away. They have enough offense to go around. I took out the running back, and allowed all the other positions, with no more than three players. The Monday night game will be a high scoring affair on both sides, and the generator knew it. Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, and Roddy White were the first three. White is a wild card, due to his nagging injuries, but if he is out there, he will likely pick up plenty of targets. Atlanta has a 26 point total set so far, and with the Eagles pace of play, Atlanta will see plenty of time on the field. There was also quite a few Eagles' stacks down below. Philly allowed 25 points per game last season, and they finished second behind the Falcons allowing the second most passing yards per game. There should be no arguments with the Jones and Ryan connection. White's health is the thing to keep an eye on, but without a major target behind the two wideouts, White should still see plenty of looks.

Alright, so after I saved the DK stack, I went to the lineup optimizer and ran the optimizer with the saved stack. I made no changes to the filter, and just let the optimizer do its thing. Right off the bat, I like that the optimizer picked up the value plays from the Bears-Packers game. The Bears featured one of the worst defenses in the league last season, and Eddie Lacy should eat as usual. Davante Adams has hardly been talked about this week, sarcasm, but no surprise he is in the lineup being one of the top value plays. The two Bears plays interest me, due to the fact the Bears should be playing keep up with the Packers. I expect Cutler to be throwing, it just is a matter to which team. The two odd-ball plays, are Alfred Blue and the Bills defense. Blue has a tough matchup against the Chiefs, who I like to bounce back from an average 2014. Due to the price being so low, he will pay off with an average game on the ground, and a score. Tough to ask, but doable. The Bills defense will be on my radar a few times this season, but against the Colts, I will pass. I much rather go with the Jets at the same price. The defense is my only disagreement, other than that, optimizer ran a solid lineup to go with the stack. These were all ran with the cash game projections.

This second lineup was used with GPP projections, which changed a little bit adding Chris Ivory. I really like Ivory's price on DK, and a lot of reports have Ivory getting a ton of touches. Cleveland gave up the most rushing yards per game in 2014, and have not improved in the offseason. Ivory also finds himself in goal line situations, unlike some of the other backs. The other addition is the Rams defense, which has a tough task facing the Seahawks. While they may rise to the task, it will be a lot to ask of them.

DFC Stacking Generator: https://www.dailyfantasycafe.com/tools/stackgenerator/nfl

DFC Lineup Optimizer: https://www.dailyfantasycafe.com/tools/lineupoptimizer/nfl

8 years ago

I agree that Ivory is a GPP candidate especially with no Geno Smith. Really like what the optimizer spit out but wonder what it would do if you put Hester in for White.

8 years ago

Definitely would have a little room to bump Blue up.

8 years ago

Outside of Julio Jones, the only other Atlanta wide receiver I'd put in play is Hankerson. Long TD upside, and can return 5x value with a 3/60/1 line. That seems more than reasonable.

8 years ago

I'm all over Ivory in all formats. His price limits risk and he provides some upside as well. I think the Julio/Ryan duo will be really heavily owned (not that it shouldn't be). I like the Bradford/J-Matt pairing as well.

8 years ago
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