NBA GPP Green Light 11-20-17

It is Thanksgiving week which means we have a strange schedule for our games all week long. Tonight, we have 11 games on the slate with only the Indiana at Orlando game projected over 220 points. Injuries to some major stars could have a pretty big impact tonight, as John Wall and Anthony Davis are questionable, while guys like Tim Hardaway Jr., Paul Millsap, Otto Porter, Marvin Williams and Buddy Hield are also notable injuries to keep an eye on.

DK Salary: $9,800 / FD Salary: $10,800

Despite the abysmal matchup against OKC, it is pretty tough to ignore the price on Davis tonight. There is a little bit of a caveat to this pick, as Davis is listed as questionable, but he is expected to suit up. Davis is coming off back-to-back down games, scoring 34.25 and 28.25 fantasy points in those contests, but has eclipsed 50 fantasy points in six of his last 10 games. He has at least 10 rebounds in seven of those 10 games, and continues to play heavy minutes for the Pelicans. He will be matched up with Carmelo Anthony tonight, who we all know is not a great defender, and he has a massive size advantage on him. Davis is second on the team in usage at 26 percent and should be able to feast against the undersized front court of OKC. The Thunder are only allowing 42.9 rebounds per game to opponents this season, but the good news is that we know the majority of those boards will fall to either Davis or Cousins.

DK Salary: $7,600 / FD Salary: $7,900

I loved this matchup for Oladipo, prior to realizing this was a revenge game for him, and now I love it even more. Oladipo has been outstanding for the majority of this season, averaging 23.1 points per game. He has eclipsed the 40 fantasy points mark in three of the last four games, and five of his last 10, and gets an excellent matchup against an Orlando team whose defense has come back down to earth recently. The Magic are surrendering 108.3 points per game to opponents, and allowing them to shoot 46 percent from the floor. They are also allowing opponents to shoot 41 percent on mid-range attempts, where Oladipo is attempting 40% of his attempts this year. Oladipo dominates the team in usage, posting a 30 percent usage rate on the season, and he is one of their best players in isolation possessions where the Magic have struggled to defend all season. This game hosts the highest projected total on tonight's slate, and getting exposure with Oladipo is an excellent idea.

DK Salary: $7,100 / FD Salary: $7,600

Vucevic has been incredibly disappointing recently, failing to break the 40 fantasy point mark in four of the last five games, but tonight is a get right spot for the struggling big man. The Pacers, going into Sunday, had surrendered 108.8 points per game to opponents, to go along with 44.4 rebounds, and ranked 28th in the NBA in efficiency, allowing 54.5 fantasy points per game to opposing centers. Indiana is allowing 50.6 points in the paint to opponents, and 14.3 second chance points, and have allowed them to shoot 65 percent at the rim. He has attempted double-digit shot attempts in all but one game this season, and can easily pull down double-digit boards. All signs are pointing to Vuc breaking out tonight in a big way, and he will be a lock for my lineups.

DK Salary: $6,200 / FD Salary: $6,700

Cleveland is on tonight's slate, so of course I am looking to attack them any way I can. Tobias is my favorite way to do that tonight, as every facet of his game is perfect to exploit the flaws in Cleveland's atrocious defense. The Cavs are surrendering 112.2 points per game to opponents, and have allowed opponents to shoot 47 percent from the floor this season. Tobias thrives in transition for the Pistons, averaging 1.32 points per play, and the Cavs are surrendering an 61.3 eFG% in transition this season. They are also getting destroyed in isolation and to roll men in the pick-and-roll, all areas where Tobias is one of the top Pistons this season. He has attempted at least 15 shots in three of the last four games, and six of the last 10, and should be heavily involved in the offense tonight.

DK Salary: $4,500 / FD Salary: $5,300

Willie Cauley-Stein was replaced in the starting lineup two games ago against Portland, and it may have been a blessing in disguise for the young big man. He has seen over 30 minutes in back-to-back games and he eclipsed 35 fantasy points in those games, both of which were against Portland. Seeing Cauley-Stein thrive off the bench, and in a tough matchup, gives me reason to believe he can do so again tonight against the Nuggets. Denver has been tough against big men this season, limiting opponent rebounds and points in the paint, but that comes mostly against starters. Against bench units, the Nuggets are giving up 17 rebounds and 40.7 points per game. WCS has also seen his usage climb from 20.81 percent to 27.6 percent since moving to the bench, leading me to believe he will continue to produce in a big way tonight.