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March basketball is a bit of a dreadful time for NBA DFS. We start to see longer rotations, late scratches, and teams tanking away. We have ten games on the slate, and the only double-digit spread is Golden State -12.5 against Atlanta, which well should be a blowout. Oklahoma City takes on Phoenix in one of the better fantasy games to target, and while we might think this game blows out, OKC has been struggling a bit of late. Giannis Antetokounmpo T.J. Warren, Andrew Harrison, JaMychal Green, Taj Gibson, and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist are the notable questionable tags tonight.

Bradley Beal, PG/SG, Washington Wizards

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

39106739.426.742.6341.64

DK Salary: $8,300 / FD Salary: $7,900

This game has some solid correlation plays, and we will start with Bradley Beal, who has seen his price drop after last game's horrific outing. Washington will meet Toronto for the fourth time this season, and Beal has averaged 46 fantasy points per game in the first three meetings. Toronto ranks 19th overall in defensive efficiency against opposing SG this season, but second over the last ten games. Beal sees a 25.2% assist rate with Wall off the court this season, and a 30.5% usage rate. Beal's ownership has been trending way down since the game against the Bulls where he let down nearly 30% of the field.

Paul Millsap, PF/C, Denver Nuggets

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

29

1111040.724.841.1841.00

DK Salary: $5,200 / FD Salary: $5,600

We will need to keep an eye on any news that would suggest Paul Millsap would be limited even more so than the last game against the Clippers. Millsap played 23 minutes, scoring 26 fantasy points. Millsap might come off the bench again, but could see his minutes be bumped up to the 25-28 range, which is more than acceptable at his price. Our projections are a bit over the top on Millsap, but 30-35 fantasy points isn't out of the question, and would be great for his price tag. Memphis has struggled against opposing PF of late, ranking 24th in defensive efficiency in the last ten games.

Enes Kanter, C, New York Knicks

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

26

1092550.222.4832.5932.23

DK Salary: $6,500 / FD Salary: $6,000

Enes Kanter has been played off the court over the past two games, and after sitting in the $7,000's in price, he is in a range I am much more comfortable paying. Kanter should get back into his normal minutes tonight, and start the double-double streak again. Kanter put up 39 fantasy points in a prior meeting against the Clippers, and their center defense isn't so hot. The Clippers are 18th in rebounds allowed to centers over the last ten games, and rank 23rd in defensive efficiency over the course of the season. Kanter is averaging 1.18 FPPM this season.

Elfrid Payton, PG, Phoenix Suns

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

35

108343.523.3735.7535.40

DK Salary: $6,800 / FD Salary: $7,200

I think I speak for everyone when I say that I hope this game stays close. Guys like Elfrid Payton and Devin Booker is where it starts. Both Payton and Booker are in play tonight, but Payton and Westbrook have this odd history of balling out against each other. Payton has yet to be below 30 fantasy points per game since entering Phoenix, featuring three double doubles, and one triple double. Oklahoma City has been slightly above average defensively against point guards this season, but that didn't stop Payton from dropping 47 fantasy points in 30 minutes against Westbrook earlier this season. Payton and Booker are the other side of what should be a popular game to target.

David Nwaba, SG/SF, Chicago Bulls

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

32

1051337.311.224.3224.64

DK Salary: $5,400 / FD Salary: $4,800

I don't care about David Nwaba ownership, but $4,800 on FanDuel continues to be too cheap for somebody drawing 30 minutes a night and producing. $5,400 on DraftKings is a little higher, so he isn't as in play. There should be a few cheap options like Mario Chalmers who open up today for deep values. Dallas ranks 27th in defensive efficiency against opposing small forwards over the last ten games, and rank 30th in rebounding. Nwaba is a high energy player who has six steals in the four games starting, and has no less than six rebounds. Dallas is one of the worst rebounding teams in the league, and despite a low usage, Nwaba has some upside here.



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