NBA Winners from Downtown 12-2-15

By: Justin Elick, Updated December 02, 2015

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Winners From Downtown is bringing the top daily picks for your cash games, alongside some value plays, and Vegas notes. Be sure to check out our minutes tool, and Colossus lineup optimizer.

Projections show DraftKings prices and fantasy points.

Vegas Notes

- Pelicans-Rockets (213.5, -4) and Warriors-Hornets (211, +9) have the highest totals on tonight's 9-game slate.

- Bucks-Spurs (189.5, -12) and 76ers-Knicks (192, -9) have the lowest totals for tonight's action.

- Pacers-Clippers (204, -2.5) and Suns-Pistons (201, -4.5) look like solid targets for cash games as well.

- Aside from the Spurs, the main blowout concern is the Lakers-Wizards game (203, -10).

Top Picks

Anthony Davis (PF), Pelicans
Opponent	Minutes	Fantasy Points Per Minute	Defensive Efficiency Rating	Usage Rate	Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed	Vegas Team Total	Projection
at HOU	38	1.39	108.5	29.1	46.1	103.75	52.82

Salary: FD: $10,800 DK: $10,700

Hate him or love him, "The Brow" has burned us all a few times, but matchups like this one can't be ignored. The Rockets have been among the worst in the NBA against PF this season, and rank 20th in rebounding differential as well. Davis has been tremendous recently, He has 52, 69.75, 54.75, 23, 61.75, and 61 FP in his last 6 games, and has an enormous ceiling tonight. We can't anticipate or be too wary of injuries in the NBA, even to those who have been prone to them. Davis is one of the top options on tonight's slate.

Kawhi Leonard (SF), Spurs
Opponent	Minutes	Fantasy Points Per Minute	Defensive Efficiency Rating	Usage Rate	Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed	Vegas Team Total	Projection
vs MIL	37	1.22	106.1	25.9	43.4	100.75	45.14

Salary: FD: $9,100 DK: $8,700

Although this game boasts the lowest total on the slate, Leonard's floor is safe. He has averaged 42.6 FP per game this season, and has a few monster performances in the last 2 weeks as well (56.75 vs PHO, 60.75 at DEN). His ability to stuff the stat sheet is among the best in the NBA at any position, and Milwaukee continues to be one of the worst team defenses in the entire league. Fire up Leonard as an elite floor/upside combination.

Robert Covington (SF), 76ers
Opponent	Minutes	Fantasy Points Per Minute	Defensive Efficiency Rating	Usage Rate	Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed	Vegas Team Total	Projection
at NY	36	1.01	102.9	24.9	35.6	91.5	36.36

Salary: FD: $6,400 DK: $7,200

Covington is on a thieving rampage right now, with 21 steals in a span of 3 games before last night. Obviously, that sort of production is unsustainable, but the encouraging thing is that he totaled 40.25 FP last night against the Lakers without a single steal. Much like he was in the second half last season, Covington has emerged as a reliable weapon with upside. His price is creeping up on DK, but he remains an elite play on FD.

John Wall (PG), Wizards
Opponent	Minutes	Fantasy Points Per Minute	Defensive Efficiency Rating	Usage Rate	Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed	Vegas Team Total	Projection
vs LAL	36	1.09	103.3	28.3	48.9	106.5	39.24

Salary: FD: $8,100 DK: $8,000

I wrote up Wall as an elite GPP play last night against the Cavs' backcourt, and hopefully you cashed in. There are few better back-to-back matchups for a PG than the Cavs and Lakers, and Wall's price is simply too low. I'm locking him in at a discount and moving on. The Lakers lost by double-digits last night to a historically bad 76ers team, and none of these players have the ability to slow down Wall tonight. Take advantage of this price discount while you can.

DeMar DeRozan (SG), Raptors
Opponent	Minutes	Fantasy Points Per Minute	Defensive Efficiency Rating	Usage Rate	Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed	Vegas Team Total	Projection
at ATL	35	0.94	99.5	27.5	37.3	97.5	32.90

Salary: FD: $7,500 DK: $7,200

If you're looking for stability at the SG position, DeRozan is your man. He can be scoring reliant at times, but has been consistent recently, and is now averaging 34.5 FP per contest this season. Without many top options at SG (aside from James Harden), DeRozan makes sense, as he comes with a floor in the upper 20s, and a ceiling near 50.

Value Plays

Alex Len (C- PHO) FD: $3,500 DK: $3,300

This pick is 100% contingent on the status of Tyson Chandler (hamstring), who missed last night's game and is currently listed as questionable for tonight's tilt with Detroit. He would draw a tough assignment against Andre Drummond, but at this price, you only need around 16-18 FP to pay off this salary in cash games. If Chandler plays, look elsewhere.

Isaiah Canaan (PG - PHI) FD: $4,400 DK: $5,400

His price is starting to rise on DK, but Canaan remains one of the better values on the board once again. He doesn't possess much upside, but has shown a floor of around 25 FP each night. He is facing off against the Knicks tonight and should be a popular cash game filler once again.

Bismack Biyombo (C - TOR) FD: $3,900 DK: $4,900

With Jonas Valanciunas on the shelf, Biyombo has been an excellent value play down low. He never looks to shoot aside from the occasional putback, but he has 23, 27, 32, and 18 FP in his last 4 games since drawing the start. Tonight's matchup is ideal against a Hawks team that is among the worst in the NBA with a -3.3 rebound differential per game.

Jeremy Lamb (SG - CHA) FD: $4,700 DK: $4,800

Lamb has been one of my favorite value plays over the last few weeks, and he could be in line for an even bigger role if Jeremy Lin (ankle) is unable to play. Monitor Lin's status, but Lamb makes for a fine value at a weak position either way, as he has at least 21 FP in 9 of his last 10 contests.

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