NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
Week 5 has had some games shifted around as the Patriots-Broncos and Bills-Titans games have been moved to early in the week and they will not accumulate fantasy points for any of the main slates that I write about. This moves that slate down to ten games, which isn't bad given we have so many offenses like Dallas, Kansas City, Baltimore, and then a couple shootout games as well.
Deshaun Watson - $6,900 - GPP Projection: 20.1
Jacksonville is allowing the 11th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season, and it could be more. Houston was able to get BOB out of the picture after he ran the organization into the ground. Watson is in a great spot against one of the poorer secondaries in the league. Watson just missed out on a monster week last week but still had 300+ yards and 2 touchdowns in his first positive matchup of the season.
Teddy Bridgewater - $5,900 - GPP Projection: 19.4
With the Falcons allowing the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season, Teddy Bridgewater under $6,000 is a nice play this week if you want to save some cash. While the Falcons have allowed big points to some of the top quarterbacks in the league, they also allowed a combined 28 fantasy points to Nick Foles and Mitch Trubisky. This defense is hopeless.
Antonio Gibson - $5,000 - GPP Projection: 16.5
As for a value back, Antonio Gibson at $5,000 is not bad. The Rams are allowing 19.1 PPR points per game to opposing running backs and Gibson is starting to grab control of this backfield. His touches over the first four weeks are 11, 14, 12, and 17. He has produced 4, 11, 12, and 18 fantasy point games so far this season.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire - $6,800 - GPP Projection: 20.2
There are a handful of good backs this week, and Kareem Hunt is someone I expect to take a lot of the ownership in this range, and deservingly so. The Raiders have allowed a whopping 30.3 fantasy points per game to opposing backs this season and CEH makes a lot of sense this week. He has seen solid usage and a breakout game is awaiting.
Robert Woods - $6,400 - GPP Projection: 16.5
This is a sneaky good spot for the Rams offense as they get a Washingtons secondary that has been a bit overrated so far this season. They have also allowed 30+ real points in three straight games this season. Woods is in a range with a lot of popular options and should get overlooked.
DeVante Parker - $5,900 - GPP Projection: 14.9
San Francisco's defense is very banged up and this is now a sneaky good spot for DeVante Parker. I don't expect the Dolphins to slow down the 49ers offense that is nearly at full health, which means plenty of come from behind volume for Parker. The 49ers have had the luxury of facing three very weak passing offenses, where Miami is at least viable.
Robby Anderson - $5,900 - GPP Projection: 16.2
Going back to the well with Robby Anderson and even some DJ Moore here as well. The Falcons have allowed the fourth most receiving yards to opposing wide receivers this season. Anderson and Moore are in a tremendous spot and have been the two options Teddy Bridgewater has looked at the most.
T.Y. Hilton - $4,900 - GPP Projection: 15.5
Cleveland has struggled against the pass this season and have been very good against the run. Multiple WR1s have posted big scores against the Browns this season and TY Hilton has a chance to do the same. This should be a better game flow for Hilton to see more around 7-8 targets instead of 4-5. Under $5,000 in a game that I expect to be higher scoring, Hilton makes sense in a few tournament lineups.
Evan Engram - $4,600 - GPP Projection: 12.9
Evan Engram's price has continued to slip since the beginning of the season. He has a chance to bounce back and post his first big score of the 2020 season. Dallas has allowed the 9th most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends this season and overall have allowed a lot of passing production. While the Giants are not a powerhouse like Atlanta or Seattle, they still have weapons to take advantage of the matchup.
Texans - $2,600 - GPP Projection: 9.1
Houston's defense hasn't been good for a while now, but for a cheap defense on DK I don't mind taking them against a turnover-happy Gardner Minshew. If Houston can get out to a lead early, this will put pressure on the Jaguars and they have struggled when put in that spot. The Jaguars have turned the ball over five times and have allowed 13 sacks in the first four games.