NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
Welcome back to Stacking to Win it. In this article I will give you my top stacks of the week. I will give you my top two stacks to consider, a value stack and a team that I feel is flying under the radar to consider.
Let us all hope that the injury bug stays away this week. Last week was all about survival and hopefully this week returns to normal. There are pretty clear cut stacks this week, but I did give you two that I think can really pay off big time that should be under owned and also provide you with some value. Besides these stacks, there were several others that just missed the cut.
Top Stack 1
Patriots vs Redskins- Team Total 33.0
My top stack this week is a familiar one in the New England Patriots. That offense led by Tom Brady has just been too good this season. They are fifth in the NFL in total yards per game, second in passing yards per game and first in points per game. Brady leads the NFL in passing yards per game and touchdowns. His main weapons this year to no one's surprise has been the Gronk and Edelman. Gronkowski is averaging 9 targets a game and turning those targets into about 6 catches a game. He has three straight games with a touchdown and two straight with over 100 yards. Edelman has been a little banged up and may miss the game but has been great this season. There are also several different pivots you could turn to if you wanted to serve off the more owned Pats players with guys like Dion Lewis and Brandon LaFell. This offense has enough to go around and once again should be the top scoring team of the week.
Name | Position | FanDuel Salary | DraftKings Salary | Estimated Ownership % | Avg Points Per Game |
| Tom Brady | QB | $9,500 | $8,500 | 15-20% | 26.8 FD/ 29.1 DK |
TE | $8,500 | $8,000 | 10-15% | 18.1 FD/ 22.7 DK | |
Julian Edelman | WR | $8,000 | $8,200 | 15-20% | 17.5 FD/ 21.7 DK |
Top Stack 2
Steelers vs Raiders - Team Total 26.3
If you don't want to spend up for the expensive Patriots this week, then the Steelers are a good place to look against the Raiders' weak secondary. The Raiders allow the second most passing yards per game with 302.1 and are allowing 24.7 points per game. Big Ben is healthy and shouldn't have any rust like he did last game. With Le'Veon Bell out in a must win situation for the Steelers, they are going to need to pass to win. Antonio Brown is your must own piece with Roethlisberger. Brown is a machine with Ben throwing him the ball and will have David Amerson who is an F rated cornerback, according to Pro Football Focus. Add in Heath Miller who caught 10 passes last week to this stack against the team that has given up the most fantasy points and touchdowns to tight ends this season and you should be in for a huge day.
Name | Position | FanDuel Salary | DraftKings Salary | Estimated Ownership % | Avg Points Per Game |
QB | $8,300 | $6,600 | 0-5% | 15.5 FD/ 18.5 DK | |
Antonio Brown | WR | $8,700 | $8,100 | 10-15% | 14.8 FD/ 19.6 DK |
Heath Miller | TE | $5,800 | $2,700 | 5-10% | 6.1 FD/ 8.2 DK |
Value Stack
Buccaneers vs Giants - Team Total 22.8
My value stack of the week is the Buccaneers going against the Giants. I am a big fan of Winston this week against one of the worst secondaries in the NFL. We all know what Drew Brees did to them last week and while I do not expect Winston to have a 7 touchdown performance, a 3 touchdown day is not out of question. The Giants are allowing the most passing yards per game with 315.4 and 26 points a game. They really struggle against tight ends ranking second behind the Raiders in fantasy points per game given up. They have given up the most catches and yards to the position. ASJ looked ready to breakout before being injured in week 2 and may not return this week. If ASJ plays I am fully expecting him to carve this Giants team up. Add in Evans who has back-to-back games with at least 9 targets and is averaging 9 per game on the season, you will have a low owned cheap stack that could pay off big time.Name | Position | FanDuel Salary | DraftKings Salary | Estimated Ownership % | Avg Points Per Game |
Jameis Winston | QB | $6,700 | $5,500 | 0-5% | 16.9 FD/ 17.8 DK |
WR | $7,500 | $6,800 | 5-10% | 9.4 FD/ 12.4 DK | |
Austin Seferian-Jenkins | TE | $5,200 | $2,800 | 0-5% | 14.7 FD/ 18.0 DK |
Contrarian Stack
Broncos @ Colts - Team Total 26.0
My contrarian stack this week is the good old Broncos led by Peyton Manning facing his old team. The Broncos have struggled in the passing game this season, but it hasn't really been in racking up yards but only finding the end zone. They rank 12th in the NFL in passing yards per game with 255 and Manning is averaging 315 yards per game over his past two. It is those pesky touchdowns that are really holding this attack back as they rank next to last in the NFL with only 7 passing scores. Things should get better this week against the Colts who have allowed 14 touchdown passes and 280 passing yards per game this season. When you add in the narrative of Manning going back to face his old team, if you believe in those things, this low owned stack could pay off big time.
Name | Position | FanDuel Salary | DraftKings Salary | Estimated Ownership % | Avg Points Per Game |
Peyton Manning | QB | $7,700 | $6,300 | 0-5% | 13.0 FD/ 13.9 DK |
Demaryius Thomas | WR | $8,400 | $7,500 | 5-10% | 14.5 FD/ 19.9 DK |
Emmanuel Sanders | WR | $7,600 | $7,300 | 5-10% | 13.3 FD/ 17.0 DK |
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