Quarterback Analysis: NFL Week 4

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Mr. Rodgers is coming off a monster Monday night performance in which he threw for five scores. For the season, he has 10 touchdown passes with zero turnovers. Rodgers has completed 73.6% of his passes and thrown for 257 yards per game. His matchup this week is one of the best in the league against the 49ers. The 49ers rank dead last in the NFL in yards per attempt allowed at 10 and have allowed 284 yards a game. Opposing quarterbacks have a 111.6 rating against them and have completed 70.3% of their passes. Depending on the site and scoring formula, the 49ers have allowed opposing quarterbacks at least 18.7 fantasy points a game. I like Rodgers to continue his hot start to the season in which he has scored at least 22 fantasy points every game.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash: 20-30%

GPP: 15-25%

DraftKings

Cash: 20-30%

GPP: 20-30%

Andrew Luck finally showed what kind of quarterback he is in the fourth quarter against the Titans. Luck threw two touchdowns 56 seconds apart in the fourth quarter to lead the Colts to victory. This week, he gets to face the Jaguars, who are not a very good defense. They allow 19 fantasy points a game to opposing quarterbacks and have only one forced turnover all year. They allow 7.6 yards per attempt and 283 yards a game. Last year against the Jaguars, Luck threw for 623 yards and five scores in their two meetings. The Colts have the highest team total on the board, and Luck should continue his comeback trail in this game.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash: 20-30%

GPP: 15-25%

DraftKings

Cash: 20-30%

GPP: 20-30%

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Carr is playing great with back-to-back 300 yard games and gets to face the lowly Bears this week. The Bears are awful in all aspects of football right now and are in fire sale mode trading away two of their starters on defense. They have already given up eight touchdown passes and have allowed a league worst 123.8 rating to quarterbacks. The Bears do not create a lot of pressure with just four sacks on the season. I like this matchup and think Carr should easily score above 20 fantasy points for the third straight game in this one.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash: 25-35%

GPP: 20-25%

DraftKings

Cash: 20-30%

GPP: 25-30%

Andy Dalton has started the season on fire. He is sixth in the NFL in yards with 866 and fourth in touchdown passes at eight. He is averaging 23.9 fantasy points a game this season and gets to face the Chiefs, who lead the league in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks with 24 a game. The Chiefs have allowed the most touchdown passes with 10 and allow 287 yards per game. Dalton is in a great spot this week and could be in store for another huge game.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash: 15-20%

GPP: 10-15%

DraftKings

Cash: 15-20%

GPP: 10-20%

Elite GPP Plays

Newton might have the highest ceiling of any quarterback in the league with his running ability. He has already rushed 31 times this season for 144 yards and two scores. Newton's matchup this week is a tough one to determine against Tampa Bay. In week 1, the Bucs looked awful letting Marcus Marriota have his way with four touchdowns, but they have since clamped down and only allowed two touchdown passes since then. They also have held opposing quarterbacks to negative one yard on the ground, but they did face immobile quarterbacks in Drew Brees and Ryan Mallett. If the week 1 Buccaneers show up, Newton could be in for a huge game, but if the defense of the past two weeks is the one to come to play, it could be a very long day for him.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash: 10-15%

GPP: 15-20%

DraftKings

Cash: 10-15%

GPP: 15-20%

Palmer might be the early season MVP with his performances in the first three games. Palmer has nine touchdowns and 803 yards already this season. He does, however, have a tough matchup this week against the Rams. Despite allowing opponents to complete over 80% of their passes, the Rams have only allowed seven yards per attempt. They have only given up two touchdowns on the year and really pressure the quarterback with a league leading 13 sacks. Palmer also may not be asked to do much in this game as the Cardinals are seven point favorites and have one of the best defenses in the league.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash: 5-10%

GPP: 10-20%

DraftKings

Cash: 10-20%

GPP: 10-20%

Value GPP Plays

Rivers has been relatively quite since his huge week one in which he threw for over 400 yards and two scores. Since that game, he has averaged 243.5 yards and 1.5 scores with an interception. This week should be a bounce back game for him against the Browns. The Browns have allowed two touchdowns every game this season and are treading in the wrong direction against the pass. In week 1 they held the Jets to 179 yards through the air and since then have averaged 285.5 yards per game. They allow 8.1 yards per attempt and quarterbacks have a 102.9 rating against them. Vegas have the Chargers with a 26.5 point total and eight point favorites. All signs are pointing for Rivers to have a big game this week.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash: 0-5%

GPP: 10-20%

DraftKings

Cash: 5-10%

GPP: 10-20%

With the injury to Ben Roethlisberger, we get to see if Michael Vick has anything left in the tank. The 15-year veteran did not look great last year on the Jets only completing 52.9% of his passes for three touchdowns and two interceptions in 10 games, but he did show he still had his running ability. Vick ran for 153 yards on 26 attempts last year. He has arguably his best supporting cast with Antonio Brown and Le'veon Bell to take pressure off of him and gets a fantastic matchup against the Ravens. The Ravens rank 21^st in yards allowed per attempt at 7.7 and 29^th in yards allowed per game at 291. They have also allowed quarterbacks to average four yards per carry and have given up a touchdown on the ground to them. While it is hard to predict what Vick is going to do, he is cheap across the industry.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash: 0-5%

GPP: 5-10%

DraftKings

Cash: 0-5%

GPP: 5-10%