Stacking to Win It: NFL Week 16

Welcome back to Stacking to Win it. In this article I will give you my top stacks of the week. I will give you my top two stacks to consider, a value stack and a team that I feel is flying under the radar to consider.

There are a lot of teams with high projected point totals and this week feels like a week where you are going to need to score well over 200 points to win a GPP.

Top Stack 1

Steelers @ Ravens- Team Total 28.75

I am in love with the Steelers this week against the very bad Ravens defense in what amounts to a must win for them. The Steelers offense has been unstoppable the past six weeks. In that time frame, they have scored at least 30 points in every game and are averaging 36.5 points. They are averaging 470 yards in those six games and are putting these numbers up against anyone. In the six games they have faced three of the top four defenses in terms of points allowed per game. The Ravens are not a good defense as I mentioned earlier and rank 25^th in points allowed per game with 25.7. The Ravens allow 19.66 fantasy points to quarterbacks which ranks 10^th in the NFL and 33.92 to wide receivers which is third most in the NFL. Big Ben and Antonio Brown are your top two choices in this stack. They both have been fantastic in this hot streak. Ben is averaging 366 passing yards, 2.1 touchdowns and 23.87 fantasy points in these six games. Brown has been even better with 64 catches for 868 yards and six scores. He has four games with at least 30 fantasy points and is unstoppable. You can pair them with Martaivs Bryant, Markus Wheaton or DeAngleo Williams for the trio. Williams is my favorite of the group and he is one of the rare running backs who doesn't take away from the quarterback. He has 22 catches in the six games and is averaging 19.88 fantasy points per game during that time frame. The Steelers will likely be popular and are expensive but they will be worth every penny this week.

Name	Position	FanDuel Salary	DraftKings Salary	Estimated Ownership %	Projected Points
Ben Roethlisberger	QB	$8,900	$6,800	20-25%	22.42
Antonio Brown	WR	$9,300	$9,300	20-25%	22.76
DeAngelo Williams	RB	$7,400	$6,500	15-20%	22.71

Top Stack 2

Jaguars @ Saints - Team Total 24.25

If you're not going to use the Steelers, then the Jaguars are the team that you want to target. They get the best possible matchup against the league worst Saints defense. The Saints allow 30.9 points per game which is by far the worst in the NFL. They rank 31^st in total yards allowed per game with 413.5, 30^th in passing yards allowed per game with 276 and dead last in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game with 137. They have allowed a league worst 39 passing scores and the most fantasy points to quarterbacks with 24.36 and tight ends with 15.36. The red hot Jaguars lead by Blake Bortles should add to those awful numbers. Bortles has gone for at least 23 fantasy points in four straight games. In that time frame he has 11 passing scores and back-to-back games with a rushing score. His main target is Allen Robinson who was robbed of a Pro Bowl berth and has been as consistent as anyone in the NFL. He has 10 straight games with at least 100 yards or a score and nine out of ten with double-digit fantasy points. Add in Julius Thomas who prior to last week had scored in four straight games and is averaging 13.34 fantasy points over his past five games.

Name	Position	FanDuel Salary	DraftKings Salary	Estimated Ownership %	Projected Points
Blake Bortles	QB	$8,200	$6,500	10-15%	23.03
Allen Robinson	WR	$8,400	$7,500	15-20%	16.34
Julius Thomas	TE	$6,500	$5,100	10-15%	13.36

Value Stack

Bills vs Cowboys - Team Total 24.5

In the value stack, I am having a hard time getting away from the Bills this week. The Bills face a very beatable Cowboys team and despite the losses have looked good the past four weeks. Tyrod Taylor has at least 19 fantasy points in each game and three out of the four above 26 fantasy points. He has nine touchdown passes and is also scoring you points on the ground. He has 206 rushing yards and a score in that time frame. He has really made a connection with a healthy Sammy Watkins. Watkins has gone for at least 80 yards and a score in four straight games. In those four games he has 460 total yards, six scores and 91.5 fantasy points. Add in Karlos Williams who should be picking up the start and has seven total touchdowns this season for a very affordable stack.

Name	Position	FanDuel Salary	DraftKings Salary	Estimated Ownership %	Projected Points
Tyrod Taylor	QB	$7,700	$5,500	5-10%	20.02
Sammy Watkins	WR	$7,700	$6,700	10-15%	16.56
Karlos Williams	RB	$5,400	$4,500	20-25%	14.45

Contrarian Stack

Redskins @ Eagles - Team Total 22.5

My contration stack this week is the Redskins going against the very bad Eagles secondary. The Eagles allow 259 passing yards a game which ranks 24^th in the NFL and have allowed 30 touchdown passes which is third most. They allow the second most fantasy points to wide receivers with 34.73 and third most to quarterbacks with 21.17. The Redskins have struggled on the road but do have upside if they can play like they do at home. Kirk Cousins has three out of four games with 300 yards passing and at least 22 fantasy points. He has a rushing touchdown in those three games as well and is actually second in the NFL in rushing touchdowns for quarterbacks with five. One of those three games was on the road which proves that Cousins and the Redskins can do it in hostile territory. Jordan Reed is his top option and in those three games where Cousins played great it was mainly due to Reed. Reed had at least seven catches, 80 yards and 13 fantasy points in those three games. He has back-to-back games with at least 22 fantasy points and should be able to put up similar numbers this week despite the fact that the Eagles give up the least fantasy points to tight ends with 7.01. Add in DeSean Jackson if he plays against his old team. Jackson is dealing with an injury but is fully expected to play. He has touchdowns in four of his past five games and at least 13 fantasy points in those four games. He has owned the Eagles in his revenge games. In his two games since leaving them Jackson has gone for 5-117-1 and 4-126. Be wary of the bust factor as the game is in Philly but the Redskins do have crazy upside and could pay off big time.

Name	Position	FanDuel Salary	DraftKings Salary	Estimated Ownership %	Projected Points
Kirk Cousins	QB	$7,500	$5,500	0-5%	19.15
DeSean Jackson	WR	$6,800	$5,000	0-5%	14.59
Jordan Reed	TE	$6,900	$6,500	10-15%	17.72

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