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The last 2 weeks have been really exciting to see where our process takes us. This week, we had only Xander missing the cut and that cost me. If you used the 5 guys I wrote up, you had enough for Justin Rose as your last guy. At the beginning, it started out great with Xander making 4 straight birdies, making that lineup in 3rd place early Thursday morning. Then the dreaded 11th hole happen for X when he doubled that hole not only on Thursday, but Friday as well. If he had just made par on both days, he would've been easily inside the cut line. Overall, it was a good sweat to have to see how far up the other 5 guys can go. Here are my lineups I used for the week and how the guys from the article did.
5 Guys from The Article
Charley Hoffman: 74.5 DK PTS; T52
Xander Schauffele: 32 DK PTS; MC
Emiliano Grillo: 112.5 DK PTS; 3rd
Joel Dahmen: 73 DK PTS; T20
Kevin Tway: 95 DK PTS: T5
Total PTS: 527.50
Total PTS: 438
Total PTS: 422.50
Total PTS: 421.50
So, as you can see, I really loved Xander this week and if he had made the cut, it might have been a special week. Overall, the player pool did very well. I used all the guys in the article and all the guys who I loved on the podcast. I got talked into Danny Lee who turned out to be not a bad play after all. Next few weeks will be interesting because all the tournaments will be on similar type of courses. Congrats to Justin Rose on his win and watch for him in the majors!
We are headed to Ohio for The Memorial. The course is called Muirfield Village Golf Club and it's a par 72 and 7,392 yards. It's a stacked field and it will be interesting to see the ownership on some of the guys, for example, Jordan Spieth being less than $10k and Kevin Na being less than $8k after what he displayed last week. For stats, I'm going to keep doing what I've been doing for the past 2 weeks since it's been working. The only stat I'm changing is picking Par 5 scoring over Par 4 scoring since it's a Par 72.
Patrick Reed ($8,900) – Reed is still considered to be one of the hottest players in the field. He has 4 top 10s in his last 5 starts including a win at The Masters and a runner up finish at Valspar. For stats, he's 2nd in the field for DK PTS; he's 6th in the field SG: Around the Green; and he's 8th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring. He has made 3 cuts here in his last 3 starts including a top 10 finish in 2016.
Chesson Hadley ($7,900) – Hadley is just as hot as Reed, he just doesn't have a win. He has 6 top 20 finishes in his last 6 starts. For stats, he's 10th in the field for Proximity; he's 12th in the field for SG: Approach the Green; and 12th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring. He doesn't have that much history here. He has a miss cut back in 2014 and he finished a tied for 49th. I'm picking Hadley has my dark horse this week. He's due for a win and with his price, he's almost a lock for both cash and tournaments.
Ryan Moore ($7,500) – This is more of a risky play, but the price is right with Moore. He has good course history which includes 3 top 10s in his last 5 starts. For stats, he's 2nd in the field for SG: Approach the Green; 12th in the field for SG: Off the Tee; and 23rd in the field for DK PTS. He is also in form coming in, he has 5 top 30s in his last 6 starts.
Byeong Hun An ($7,800) – When you talk about a risky play, here it is. Byeong is unpredictable when it comes to figuring it out if he'll make or break your lineups. It seems like a perfect spot for him when you look at his stats. He's 11th in the field for SG: Off the Tee; 18th in the field for SG: Around the Green; and 21st in the field for DK PTS. He's made 2 straight cuts here including an 11th place in 2016. He does have 3 top 30s in his last 5 starts leading up to this week.
Keith Mitchell ($7,200) – Mitchell is also on form with 7 straight cuts made which includes a 3rd place finish at the Bryon Nelson. For stats, he's 1st in the field for SG: Off the Tee; 10th in the field for DK PTS; and he's 20th in the field for SG: Par 5 scoring. With no history here, his ownership should be somewhat low especially with names below him, just as, David Lingmerth at $6,800.
Cash Games: For cash games, I like to play the small field 50/50s, for example, anything less than 100 entrants. I tend to make just 1 lineup and that lineup will have the 6 golfers who I think will have the best chance of making it to the weekend and have the upside of a top 10 finish.
3 Entry Max GPPs: For these tournaments, think of it as one lineup for cash, one for leagues and one that is completely different than the first 2. This technique is very common among the DFS community and even the DFS pros. Just start of with your cash lineup then use a “2 vs. 2" strategy for the other lineups.
20 – 150 Max GPPs: With these, you can have a player pool anywhere from 15-100 players. For 20 max GPPS, I tend to stay closer to 15-18 golfers in my pool. For 150 max GPPs, I recommend using around 25-30 golfers.
It looks as though it's going to be a wet one this week in Ohio. They're calling for some thunderstorms for both Thursday and Friday. If somehow if they call of the first two days, the weather looks perfect for golf for a potential Monday finish. If they are any changes to the forecast, I will update it via twitter.
Good luck everyone!!